Water Stewardship Information Sources

ID 984
Citation Janmaat, J and Anputhas, M. 2010. Development of an agent based coupled economic and hydrological model of the Deep Creek Watershed in British Columbia, Canada.
Organization UBCO
URL http://www.iemss.org/iemss2010/papers/S19/S.19.04.Development%20of%20an%20Agent%20Based%20Coupled%20Economic%20and%20Hydrological%20Model%20of%20the%20Deep%20Creek%20Watershed%20in%20British%20Columbia,%20Canada%20-%20JOHANNUS%20JANMAAT.pdf
Abstract/Description or Keywords Deep Creek is an important tributary of the Okanagan River system in Southern
British Columbia. The creek drains a watershed with sediments deposited by multiple
glacial events, resulting in a complex pattern of surface and groundwater connections
throughout the basin. Further, the basin is experiencing changes in agricultural enterprises
as well as population growth, and may be heavily impacted by climate change. The MIKE
SHE integrated hydrological modeling system is being used to develop a model of the
basin hydrology. The watershed is relatively small - with only a couple of hundred
agricultural water users - lending itself to a high resolution modeling project. We are at the
initial stages of developing an Agent Based model to forecast land use change in the basin.
The MIKE SHE model will be used to calibrate the hydrologic features of our model, and
the water use predictions of our model will serve as inputs into the MIKE SHE model, as
an iterative process to forecast the impacts of climate change in the basin. Conventional
climate change impacts on precipitation and temperature will be considered, as well as
various changes in input and output prices which may occur. The latter have been little
studied, although there is general agreement that agricultural production will shift to more
northerly regions, and that this will be driven by price changes as well as new
opportunities. After considering various approaches and software options, we decided that
REPAST provides the power and flexibility to meet our objectives. We are presently at
the preliminary stages. This paper outlines the study location and preliminary conceptual
design of the model.
Keyword: Agent based modeling; Climate change impact; REPAST; Simulation; Water
demand.
Information Type article
Regional Watershed Okanagan
Sub-watershed if known Deep Creek
Aquifer #
Comments
Project status complete
Contact Name John Janmaat
Contact Email [email protected]