Water Stewardship Information Sources

ID 1943
Citation Weiler, M, Scheffler, C, Tautz, A and Rosin, K. 2009. Development of a hydrologic process model for mountain pine beetle affected areas in British Columbia. University of British Columbia.
Organization UBC
URL http://www.hydrology.uni-freiburg.de/mw_exchange/Report_FraserProgram_V15%20_3_.pdf
Abstract/Description or Keywords The infestation of the Mountain Pine Beetle (MPB) has turned into a major threat to the natural habitat
of British Columbia. Pine forests have been decimated in the last five years by the mountain pine beetle
(MPB) (Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopk.). This infestation has impacted more than 9 million ha of pine
forest in BC and models predict that by 2015, 76% of the pine forest will be dead or dying [BC Ministry of
Forest and Range 2008].
A large proportion of British Columbia's pine forests occur in the Fraser River Basin, which is recognized
worldwide as a watershed rich in both natural resources and cultural diversity. Within the basin, water
forms a critical link between the basin and its inhabitants, whether in the form of water for fish, riparian
corridors for biodiversity , reserves for drinking water or water licenses for irrigation or hydro
generation . Because of these tight associations, changes to the hydrological cycle will significantly
change the character and viability of many aspects of life within the basin.
Especially, forest cover is a key modifier of the watershed's peak flow regime. The peak flow generally
increases when forest cover is reduced due to natural and/or man made disturbances. To determine
those peak flow increases we developed and applied a hydrological model. Since some regions of the
Fraser Basin have only a limited number of gauging stations (or are even ungauged), the goal was to
develop a model that does not rely on complex data inputs for its validation and calibration . The model
consists of an input component, a runoff generation component, a land cover modification module and
a stream routing module. The input component determines the mean annual snowmelt and maximum
rainfall based on climatic data. The climate input will be modified in the land cover modification module
in relation to the simulated vegetation cover. The derived information is then used to determine the
time and the capacity of the peak flow for every 3rd order watershed. The runoff generation component
delineates the hydrologic processes such as Hortonain Overland Flow, Saturation Overland Flow and
Shallow Surface Flow. This delineation is based on factors such as topography, slope, aspect, wetness
index, drainage pattern and drainage density. Combining those components, the model computes a map
of peak flow contribution that is used to assess sensitive areas for peak flow production. Depending on
the respective spatial scale, the derived peak flow information will be used in the stream routing module
to account for cumulative effects.
In this report, we modeled the impact of pine coverage in grey stand as well as pine cover harvested for
the Fraser Basin. The simulated results were compared to the baseline scenario, a scenario assuming no
Mountain Pine Beetle activity. Our modeling results are summarized as follows:
The reduction in active pine cover or the removal of forest cover results in an increase of peak flow
whereas
1. Equal area reductions in vegetation do not lead to the same peak flow increases and suggests
the existence of scale effects
2. The degree of peak flow increases due to land use changes has a clear relationship to watershed
size. Peak flow increases between 23% and 88% have a higher probability at higher watershed
scale.
3. Harvesting activities have a greater impact on peak flows than does grey attack; similar findings
were published by the Forest Practice Board [2007].
Information Type report
Regional Watershed All
Sub-watershed if known
Aquifer #
Comments
Project status complete
Contact Name Markus Weiler
Contact Email