Water Stewardship Information Sources

Citation BGC Engineering. 2011. Run of River Power Corporation, Skookum Creek Hydro Project, Terrain and Geohazard Risk Assessment. Prepated for Run of River Power Corporation.
Organization BGC Engineering
URL http://squamish.cc/extranet/Planning/Referrals/Skookum%20Clean%20Energy%20Project/EXHIBITS/Ex%20%2015.%20Terrain%20Stability%20-%20Geohzrd%20Risk%20Assess/Terrain%20Stability%20-%20Geohzrd%20Risk%20Assess.pdf
Abstract/Description or Keywords This report provides an assessment of terrain characteristics and geohazard risks to the
proposed Skookum Creek project, including the intake, penstock, powerhouse and
transmission line. The terrain assessment included characterization of overburden material
and bedrock (where exposed) along the trace of the proposed penstock from the intake to
the powerhouse. This information is summarized in Table A-1 of Appendix A, and will be
used for preliminary design of cut and fill slopes along the alignment, and estimates of
material volumes.
The geohazard risk assessment provides semi-quantitative rankings of geohazard risks. The
objective is to identify sites where further assessment of risk mitigation is appropriate to
lower geohazard risk levels to within Run of River Power Corporation’s (RoR’s) level of risk
tolerance. Geohazard risk was determined by using BGC’s geohazard risk matrix for large
corporate projects (Table 4-1) applied to a proposed base case system design. For the
intake, penstock, and powerhouse, the base case was the revision P1 alignment, and
assumed the penstock is buried next to the access road near the intake and otherwise laid
on a penstock bench. The base case did not assume any pipe bridges or account for any
hazard reduction benefit from access road reconstruction, but did assume tributary crossing
design based on the Q100 peak flow. For the transmission line, the base case alignment was
provided by Andritz Automation Ltd.
Twenty six hazard scenarios were identified for the headpond, penstock, powerhouse and
transmission line (Figures 1 and 2), with 20 of these relating to the penstock route.
Geohazard risk was estimated for each hazard zone based on estimates of the likelihood of
a hazard severely damaging the intake or headpond causing an overtopping of the intake,
breaching the penstock, damaging the powerhouse, or causing a transmission tower to fail.
Economic, reputation and environmental consequences were considered. Since such
assessments cannot be done precisely, order-of-magnitude estimates were used and the risk
table populated with ranges. The risk assessment for each hazard interval for the intake,
penstock and powerhouse is provided in Table B-1 of Appendix B, and for the Transmission
line in Table B-2 of Appendix B. No Moderate, High or Very High geohazard risk scenarios
were identified for the intake headpond, powerhouse, or transmission line. Seven geohazard
risk scenarios, all along the penstock, were assessed as High risk of causing penstock
breach for the base case design. The total risk of penstock breach was estimated by adding
the probabilities of penstock breach from each hazard zone. This resulted in an assessed
return period for a penstock rupture for the unmitigated penstock design base case of 1 to 10
years.
Using the base case risk assessment as a guide, preliminary hazard mitigation concepts
were applied to the High risk scenarios along the penstock to assist in the development of
appropriate mitigation strategies. With the preliminary mitigation plan, estimated residual risks were reduced to Moderate or Low levels and the likelihood of an event occurring
somewhere along the penstock causing a penstock rupture was reduced from likely to occur
in any given year to an estimated annual probability of occurrence between 0.002 and 0.02
(500 year return period and 50 year return period, respectively).
Risk Assessment results are discussed in Section 5, and recommendations discussed in
Section 6. At this stage, Run of River Power Inc. should review the consequence ratings and
risk estimates, and confirm their tolerable risk threshold. This will then allow further
assessment or mitigation design to be completed for sites exceeding tolerable risk levels.
Information Type report
Regional Watershed Howe Sound & Sunshine Coast
Sub-watershed if known
Aquifer #
Comments
Project status complete
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